Displacement Intelligence Platform
17 data sources. ML predictions.
See the crisis before it moves.
IOM DTM, UNHCR, IDMC, ACLED, and 13 more. Gradient Boosted Trees predict displacement 12 months ahead — backtested against 850+ historical crises.
Intelligence cycle
Continuous ingestion, analysis, prediction, and briefing — running 24/7.
Ingest
17 sources fused weekly — IOM DTM, UNHCR, IDMC, ACLED, GDELT, and 12 more.
Analyze
AI scores every corridor by conflict, economic, climate, and food security risk.
Predict
ML models project 12-month displacement with confidence intervals per country.
Brief
Flash reports and weekly briefings generated automatically with actionable intel.
Data & Tracking
Continuous displacement monitoring across 17 authoritative sources with real-time corridor tracking.
Live Displacement Map
Deck.gl-powered operational picture with flow density visualization, camp capacity overlays, and border crossing heatmaps.
17 Intelligence Sources
Automated ingestion from IOM DTM v3, UNHCR, IDMC, ACLED, GDELT, FEWS NET, and 11 more. Cross-referenced and deduplicated weekly.
Early Warning System
Signal detection across conflict, economic, political, and climate indicators. Automated threat scoring with confidence intervals.
Corridor Activity Tracking
Real-time displacement corridor monitoring with border crossing volumes, route risk profiles, and Missing Migrants data.
Country Risk Baselines
Composite risk scoring across 191 countries using V-Dem, Freedom House, INFORM, and World Bank indicators.
Automated Reports
Weekly briefings and flash reports with trend analysis, risk projections, and actionable recommendations. Export to PDF or push to Slack.
Analysis & Prediction
ML-powered displacement forecasting, scenario modeling, and war gaming — backtested against 850+ historical crises.
ML Prediction Model v2
Gradient Boosted Trees replacing heuristic models. Sub-national displacement predictions with 12-month forecast horizon. Backtested against IDMC data 2008-present.
Scenario Modeling
Configure conflict escalation, policy shifts, and climate triggers. Model displacement effects with terrain, weather, and multi-variable inputs.
War Game Simulations
Multi-turn adversarial planning for migration pressure events. Stress-test response capacity and resource allocation trade-offs.
Pattern Matching Engine
Match current situations against 850+ historical crisis patterns. Identify analogues and project likely trajectories.
Natural Language Scenarios
Describe scenarios in plain text. AI translates to model parameters. 'What if Turkey closes the border and drought hits Syria?' → instant projection.
Backtesting Engine
Validate predictions against IDMC historical displacement data from 2008-present. Per-country and per-corridor accuracy metrics.
17 Sources. 195 Countries. Updated Weekly.
Displacement & Humanitarian
Conflict & Security
Political & Economic
Environment & Migration Policy
Enterprise & Integration
Sanctions crossover, food security overlays, INFORM risk data, and full API access for global teams.
Sanctions Crossover
Correlate displacement corridors with sanctioned entities. Flag high-risk intersections with SANCTIS screening integration.
Food Security Overlays
FEWS NET and FAO data layers. Map food insecurity as displacement push factor. IPC phase classification per region.
INFORM Risk Integration
Composite risk index for 191 countries. Hazard, vulnerability, and coping capacity scores feeding into prediction models.
Analytics Dashboard
Origin-destination matrices, seasonal trend decomposition, corridor risk scores, and camp capacity utilization metrics.
7 Languages
English, German, French, Arabic (RTL), Turkish, Spanish, Portuguese. Full UI translation with browser auto-detection.
OpenAPI v2
150+ REST endpoints. Full OpenAPI 3.1 spec at /api/docs. Webhook events for displacement alerts, prediction updates, and report generation.
Decision intelligence for critical moments
Multilateral Institutions
Displacement forecasts for resource pre-positioning and policy planning.
Humanitarian Operations
Corridor activity, camp capacity, and cross-border flow surges in real time.
Border Security
Border pressure points, irregular crossing patterns, and predictive alerts.
Strategic Planning
Displacement cascades from conflict scenarios and climate events.
Policy Research
ML-validated migration patterns, root causes, and intervention effectiveness.
Rapid Response
Flash briefs when displacement thresholds trigger early warning alerts.
Built for those who plan before the crisis moves
From UN agencies to host country governments, displacement intelligence serves different strategic needs.
UN & International Organizations
- 12-month displacement forecasting for resource pre-positioning
- Country risk baselines across 191 nations
- Automated weekly briefings with trend analysis
Host Country Governments
- Border crossing volume monitoring and capacity planning
- Fiscal impact modeling for displaced populations
- Early warning integration with national response systems
NGOs & Aid Organizations
- Corridor activity tracking for field operations
- Camp capacity utilization and supply chain planning
- Cross-referencing displacement with sanctions data
Research & Policy Institutes
- ML prediction model backtesting against historical data
- Scenario modeling with configurable conflict variables
- Pattern matching across 850+ historical crisis analogues
Built for teams that plan ahead of displacement
Used by multilateral institutions, border agencies, and humanitarian organizations worldwide.
“Displacement forecasts from Imperis enabled us to pre-position resources 3 weeks ahead of the Eastern Congo surge. That lead time saved lives.”
Displacement Data Lead
UNHCR Regional Bureau
“Corridor analysis identified a new route through the Western Balkans 2 weeks before the first crossings were reported. We had capacity in place before arrivals.”
Migration Analysis Unit
EU Border Agency
“Migration flow data from Imperis directly informed a $200M allocation decision. The granularity and timeliness of the data was unmatched.”
Fragility & Conflict Lead
International Development Bank
“The scenario engine has been validated against 850 historical displacement crises. It gives our research the quantitative backbone that peer reviewers demand.”
Migration Studies Chair
European Research University
Intelligence scaled to your mission
All plans include displacement tracking, automated briefings, and data exports. Contact us for a tailored quote.
All plans billed annually. Volume discounts available for multi-country deployments.
Intelligence that arrives
before the headlines.
Part of the Cerberos Intelligence Suite.